Forecasters monitor system with 20% chance of formation; no immediate threat to ABC Islands

WILLEMSTAD - The tropical wave that has been under observation since last week is now being officially monitored by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) as a system of interest. According to the latest update, there is currently a 20 percent chance that the system will further develop into a tropical depression or storm within the next seven days, somewhere within the yellow-marked area of the Caribbean.

Meteorologists indicate that any potential development is expected to occur mainly over the central Caribbean, well away from the southern islands. Current weather models suggest that the system will likely remain at a safe distance north of the ABC Islands — Aruba, Bonaire, and Curaçao.

While this projection brings some reassurance, experts caution that it is still too early to confirm the system’s exact trajectory or intensity.

If the tropical wave does strengthen, it could bring much-needed rainfall to parts of the region. However, forecasters warn that heavy downpours could lead to localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

Authorities and residents are encouraged to stay alert to official weather updates over the coming days as monitoring of the system continues.